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Posts tagged “U.S. Economic Growth Slows; Exchange Rates Soar

Commodity Update


Pertumbuhan Ekonomi AS Melambat; Tingkat Harga Melambung

Perekonomian AS sedang menghadapi masalah akibat kenaikan harga dan lemahnya pertumbuhan. Inflasi di AS saat ini naik ke level tertinggi dalam hampir selama 3 tahun di bulan Mei, sementara aktivitas manufaktur regional berkontraksi bulan ini, menurut laporan hari Rabu. Konsumen di AS lega setelah harga bensin mulai turun, membantu perekonomian pulih dari suramnya data belakangan ini. Namun dalam tren yang dapat menyulitkan pejabat di Federal Reserve, Dep. Tenaga Kerja mengatakan indeks harga konsumen diluar makanan
dan energi naik 0.3%. Itu merupakan kenaikan terbesar sejak Juli 2008, kendati sebagian kenaikan disebabkan oleh gangguan suplai akibat gempa bumi Jepang yang mendorong harga otomotif naik tajam. Laporan terposah menunjukkan penurunan tajam pada aktivitas manufaktur di negara bagian New York dan penurunan 0.1% pada output industri bulan Mei, kendati sebagian disebabkan oleh penurunan pada utilitas terkait udara dingin.

Emas Kian Diminati

Emas naik pada hari Rabu akibat aksi beli safe-haven yang dipicu oleh penurunan tajam pada bursa saham ditengah kecemasan melambatnya perekonomian AS dan tanda bawa krisis hutang di Yunani dapat meningkat.
Investor beralih kepada emas setelah indeks harga konsumen AS mencetak kenaikan terbesar dalam hampir selama 4 tahun dan dan sektor manufaktur regional berkontraksi bulan ini, juga akibat ketidakpastian mengenai diskusi tentang batas hutang AS. “Emas adalah tempat bergantung saat ini ketika bursa saham, minyak mentah dan komoditas lainnya melemah,” ucap Robert Lutts, kepala bagian invetasi di Cabot Money Management. Emas sempat turun pada awal sesi, didera oleh aksi jual dan penguatan dollar akibat krisis hutang Eropa yang memburuk.

Penguatan Dollar Tekan Minyak

Minyak turun lebih dari 4% pada hari Rabu, seiring tanda pelemahan ekonomi lanjutan yang meningkatkan kecemasan permintaan dan juga tertekan oleh penguatan dollar, memicu order sellstop dan mendorong minyak mentah turun ke level terendah sejak bulan Februari. Minyak mentah melemah pasca data menunjukkan kenaikan pada inflasi inti dan sektor manufaktur di New York
berkontraksi. Aksi jual kian intens setelah menembus ke bawah MA150 dan support kunci pada $95, dan menghapus sedikit gain pada minyak mentah akibat
penurunan tajam pada suplai minyak mentah AS. “Investor terburu-buru untuk keluar. Pasar dinilai terlalu tinggi saat ini, minyak brent terus menggelembung, dan gelembung itu pecah hari ini,” ucap Tim Evans, analis energi pada Citi Futures Perspective.

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U.S. Economic Growth Slows; Exchange Rates Soar

The U.S. economy is facing problems due to rising prices and weak growth. Inflation in the U.S. today rose to its highest level in nearly 3 years in May, while the regional manufacturing activity contracted this month, according to reports Wednesday. Consumers in the U.S. relief after gasoline prices began to fall, helping the economy recover from data gloomy lately. But in a trend that could complicate the Federal Reserve officials, Dep. Labor said its index of consumer prices outside of food and energy rose 0.3%. It was the biggest gain since July 2008, although some of the increase due to supply disruptions caused by earthquakes Japanese automotive drive prices up sharply. Terposah report showed a sharp decline in manufacturing activity in New York state and 0.1% decline in industrial output in May, although partly due to a decrease in cold-related utilities.

Gold More Wanted

Gold rose on Wednesday due to safe-haven buying triggered by a sharp decline in stock markets amid concern a slowing U.S. economy and signs carry the debt crisis in Greece can be increased. Investors turn to gold after the U.S. consumer price index scored the biggest gain in nearly four years and the regional manufacturing sector contracted this month, also due to uncertainty regarding the discussion about the U.S. debt limit. “Gold is where the current depends when the stock market, crude oil and other commodities lower,” said Robert Lutts, chief invetasi at Cabot Money Management. Gold was down early in the session, chastened by the strengthening dollar selloff and Europe due to the worsening debt crisis.

Strengthening Dollar Oil Press

Oil fell more than 4% on Wednesday, as a sign of continued economic weakness that increase anxiety and demand also pressured by the strengthening dollar, triggering orders sellstop and pushed crude oil fell to its lowest level since February. Crude oil fell after data showed a rise in core inflation and the manufacturing sector contracted in New York. Increasingly intense sell-off after breaking down the MA150 and the key support at $ 95, and removing a bit of gain on crude oil due to a sharp drop in U.S. crude supplies. “Investors rush to exit. The market is overvalued at this time, Brent oil continued to bubble, and bubbles burst today,” said Tim Evans, energy analyst at Citi Futures Perspective.