Kenaikan Harga emas tertahan di kisaran Ma 200 grafik 1 jam kemarin di $1267 dan meleha kembali hingga ke area $1239. Harga kini berada di kisaran 1245. Tekanan turun emas kemungkinan karena dollar yang menguat jelang libur pasar AS, Independence Day, besok dan jelang data tenaga kerja Jumat pekan ini. Dalam jangka pendek, tekanan turun emas berpeluang membawa emas hingga level 1233 (MA 100 grafik 1 jam). Support selanjutnya di kisaran 1224. Sementara bila harga menembus level 1250 (MA 50 grafik 1 jam), emas berpeluang menyentuh level MA 200 nya di kisaran 1256-62. Hari ini cukup banyak data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis seperti data Non Farm Employment Change yang disurvei oleh ADP, data klaim tunjangan pengangguran mingguan, data neraca perdagangan dan data aktivitas sektor non manufaktur yang disurvei ISM. Fokus perhatian pasar tentunya lebih ke data-data yang berkaitan dengan situasi tenaga kerja AS. Bila data-data ini membaik, dollar bisa kembali menguat dan melemahkan harga emas. Demikian pula sebaliknya.
- Indicators Suggest Gold Stocks and Silver Will Double (minyanville.com)
- Make Pips Not War! (eaforexhero.wordpress.com)
- Make Pips Not War! Highly Profitable Systems Review! (highprofitable.wordpress.com)
- Gold Suffers Worst Quarter Ever: Where Is It Headed Now? (on.aol.com)
- Where is the Gold and Where Did it Go? (financialsurvivalnetwork.com)
Komoditi Emas bergerak melemah pada perdagangan kemarin, logam mulia ini bergerak dalam koreksi yang wajar setelah sempat mencapai posisi tertinggi dalam lebih dari 7 minggu pada perdagangan akhir minggu lalu. Komoditi Emas melemah menjelang pertemuan para petinggi Uni Eropa yang rencananya akan membahas penanganan krisis utang di kawasan tersebut. Yunani berusaha menolak campur tangan terhadap komisioner Uni Eropa dalam penyusunan anggaran dalam negerinya dengan alasan harga diri, kondisi ini dapat mengakibatkan penundaan atau pembatalan pemberikan bantuan tahap ke 2 bagi Negara ini, Yunani dan kreditor swastanya diharapkan akan segera melengkapi perjanjian pemotongan utang dalam minggu ini.
Sterling menguat terhadap Euro pada perdagangan kemarin menyusul investor masih menunggu perkembangan dari kesepakatan swap utang Yunani dan menjelang KTT Uni Eropa yang diperkirakan tidak akan banyak membantu mendorong penguatan Euro, Yunani harus mencapai kesepakatan dengan kreditor swasta untuk memperoleh paket bailout ke 2 guna mengindari resiko default. Kondisi yang masih penuh ketidakpastian tersebut telah menekan Euro secara umum dan memicu mata uang tunggal Eropa terkoreksi sebesar 0,5% terhadap Sterling, Sterling berpotensi melemah minggu ini jika data purchasing managers’ surveys periode bulan Januari untuk sektor manufaktur, konstruksi, dan jasa menambah gambaran memburuknya kondisi ekonomi Inggris dan menambah prospek untuk berlanjutnya pelonggaran moneter oleh Bank Sentral Inggris. Pasar memprediksi BoE akan meningkatkan pembelian aset melalui program Quantitative Easing di bulan Februari dan hal ini berpotensi menekan sterling, meskipun komentar dari petinggi BoE David Miles Jumat lalu telah melemahkan prospek tersebut. Miles menegaskan bahwa merupakan pandangan yang terlalu berlebihan yang menganggap bahwa QE pasti akan berlanjut.
Indeks Berjangka Hangseng bergerak menguat pada perdagangan di hari Selasa pagi ini, pada perdagangan terakhir bulan Januari 2012 ini bursa saham Asia diliputi oleh sentimen menguat, mengabaikan hasil akhir perdagangan di bursa saham Wall Street pada perdagangan kemarin yang cenderung tertekan. Bursa saham Hongkong membukukan kenaikan yang cukup signifikan ditopang oleh pergerakan saham – saham lapis biru yang cukup solid menguat diantaranya adalah Hangseng Bank, Henderson Land, SHK Property, dan Sino Land. Di perkirakan Indeks Berjangka Hangseng hari ini berpotensi menguat, dan pergerakan masih terbatas karena saat ini masih cenderung berada dalam fase konsolidasi.
US Dollar Outlook Hinges on Nonfarm Payrolls Outcome
By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist
- All Quiet in Asian Trade as Markets Brace for US Jobs Report
- Yen to Diverge from Major Currencies on Strong NFP Outcome
- UK PPI, German Trade Figures Unlikely to Stir Strong Response
Currency markets were in a holding pattern overnight, with traders digging in their heels ahead of the upcoming US Employment report. Expectations call for the world’s top economy to add 105,000 jobs in June, rebounding after a dismal showing the previous month. Expectations are running high after a preliminary report from ADP trumped expectations to yield a 157k increase where economists expected a narrower 70K gain over the same period.
The report promises to be a pivotal moment for market-wide sentiment. Recent weeks have noticed a conspicuous divergence in leading economic data from the world’s leading engines of growth. Leading manufacturing- and service-sector indicators from China, Europe (both the UK and the Euro Zone) as well as Japan pointed to slowing performance on tap for the second half of the year, but analogous figures from the US surprised with robust outcomes.
As such, continuity of the global post-Great Recession economic recovery now appears to rest solely on the North American giant, with a would-be pickup in jobs growth promising to boost confidence. Such an outcome is likely to weigh heavily on the safe-haven US Dollar while boosting its sentiment-sensitive counterparts, and vice versa. The Japanese Yen is a notable exception, with USDJPY likely to advance with bond yields as an upswing in risk appetite boosts stocks while pushing Treasury prices lower.
The European data docket is relatively lackluster. UK Producer Price Index figures are expected to show wholesale inflation accelerated to an annual clip of 5.5 percent, but the outcome is unlikely to draw lasting attention considering the apparent determination of the Bank of England to maintain existing monetary policy on hold for the foreseeable future. Germany’s Trade Balance surplus is forecast to widen as exports rebound in May, but this is arguably old news after last week’s timelier and acutely disappointing June manufacturing PMI results.
Asia Session: What Happened
|23:50||JPY||Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (JUN)||-0.6%||–||-0.8%|
|23:50||JPY||Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (JUN)||-0.6%||-0.5%||-0.8% (R-)|
|23:50||JPY||Current Account Total (¥) (MAY)||590.7B||306.0B||405.6B|
|23:50||JPY||Adjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (MAY)||391.0B||215.0B||546.3B|
|23:50||JPY||Current Account Balance (YoY%) (MAY)||-51.7%||-75.2%||-69.5%|
|23:50||JPY||Trade Balance – BOP Basis (¥) (MAY)||-772.7B||-764.0B||-417.5B|
|2:00||CNY||Entrepreneur Confidence Index (2Q)||132.4||–||137.4|
|2:00||CNY||Business Climate Index (2Q)||135.6||–||133.8|
|4:30||JPY||Bankruptcies (YoY) (MAY)||1.5%||–||4.9%|
|5:00||JPY||Eco Watchers Survey: Current (MAY)||49.6||40||36|
|5:00||JPY||Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (MAY)||49||46||44.9|
Euro Session: What to Expect
|5:45||CHF||Unemployment Rate (JUN)||2.8%||2.9%||Medium|
|5:45||CHF||Unemployment Rate s.a. (JUN)||3.0%||3.0%||Medium|
|6:00||EUR||German Current Account (euros) (MAY)||7.0B||8.8B||Medium|
|6:00||EUR||German Trade Balance (euros) (MAY)||12.2B||10.9B||Medium|
|6:00||EUR||German Exports s.a. (MoM) (MAY)||1.5%||-5.6%||Low|
|6:00||EUR||German Imports s.a. (MoM) (MAY)||1.5%||-2.4%||Low|
|6:30||EUR||Bank of France Business Sentiment (JUN)||–||103||Low|
|6:45||EUR||FR Central Government Balance (euros) (MAY)||–||-61.4B||Low|
|8:00||EUR||Italian Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (MAY)||-0.1%||1.0%||Low|
|8:00||EUR||Italian Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY) (MAY)||2.2%||3.7%||Low|
|8:00||EUR||Italian Industrial Production n.s.a. (YoY) (MAY)||–||-0.1%||Low|
|8:30||GBP||Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (MoM) (JUN)||-0.1%||-2.0%||Low|
|8:30||GBP||Producer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (JUN)||16.1%||15.7%||Medium|
|8:30||GBP||Producer Price Index Output n.s.a. (MoM) (JUN)||0.1%||0.2%||Low|
|8:30||GBP||Producer Price Index Output n.s.a. (YoY) (JUN)||5.5%||5.3%||Medium|
|8:30||GBP||PPI Output Core n.s.a. (MoM) (JUN)||0.2%||0.2%||Low|
|8:30||GBP||PPI Output Core n.s.a. (YoY) (JUN)||3.3%||3.4%||Medium|
- FOREX: Dollar Can’t Recover Ground on Holiday Trading Conditions (managemenresiko.wordpress.com)
- FX Update: BoE gives sterling a solid boost (tradingfloor.com)
- FX Update: JPY weighed on by Japan’s trade data (tradingfloor.com)
- Forex features – safe haven currencies – the JPY (talkingforex.wordpress.com)
- Dollar Can’t Recover Ground on Holiday Trading Conditions
- Euro: Positive Turn in Greece Funding Curbed by Another S&P Warning
- Australian Dollar Misses Risk Run, Moving on to RBA Decision
- British Pound Marks a Slow Start to an Event-Heavy Week
- Swiss Franc Tumbling Quickly as Specific Safe Haven Appeal Fades
- Japanese Yen Fortified by BoJ’s Positive Outlook, Eased Political Pressure
- Gold Recovery Lacking for Momentum Until Fiat Demand Weighed
Dollar Can’t Recover Ground on Holiday Trading Conditions
The opening trading day to the week was an unusual one. On the one hand, we had significant fundamental event risk headed up by the ongoing Greek bailout saga. Alternatively, liquidity conditions were distorted by the absence of US market participation due to the extended Independence Day holiday weekend. The combination of these two atypical developments was a market high on volatility but low on meaningful follow through. This is the type of frustrating mix that draws many traders into what-looks-like appealing trades that never gain traction after posting an initial signal for entry. Looking to the dollar, we can see the full effect of this market-imposed lethargy. Despite the early morning attempt to post its first bullish close in five trading days, the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar ) ended Monday in the red. A look across the majors gives us clear representation of this greenback-centered weakness. Gains from the core EURUSD and GBPUSD pairs were measured but well-established in an underlying (though decelerating trend); the safe haven balanced USDJPY and USDCHF pairs were mostly unchanged but still dollar negative; and the yield-tipped NZDUSD was pushing new record highs into the beginning of Tuesday’s session.
Much of the currency’s weakness for the opening session can be chalked up to the carryover of selling momentum from the previous week. When there are is a lull in liquidity; the ability to generate a new trend is exceptionally handicapped – especially when the prevailing winds are generally backing a larger selling effort. Essentially, we should look at Monday as a write-off. Assumptions of trend, breakouts and fundamental shifts should be overlooked as they don’t reflect the conviction of the broader markets. If that is the case, we can approach Tuesday’s session as the opening trading day for the dollar. If that is the case, we can draw forward the prominent fundamental considerations that would will determine the benchmark’s bearing through the rest of the week. Risk appetite trends are still but follow through decelerated between the Asian and European sessions Monday; and it is likely to carry this breaking effort into today’s session.
Risk trends are a considerable burden for the dollar when they are positive; but they have offered limited support when negative. This speaks to an underlying truth of the greenback: that the currency is not a pure safe haven but rather a source of liquidity when funding markets freeze up. That being the case, we note that with the passage of Greece’s fifth round of financial support from the European Union, we have temporarily alleviated the threat of a global crisis. In turn, the credit markets have improved and the greenback’s primary appeal has diminished. The European-based sovereign debt issue is still the most immediate threat; but it will be supplanted through the immediate future the approach of the ECB rate decision. This will take a lot of wind out of any offensive that the dollar tries to mount on risk trend from now until Thursday.
Related : Discuss the Dollar in the DailyFX Forum , Today’s Video : ECB Decision versus Greek Financial Crisis for EURUSD Traders’ Attentions
Euro: Positive Turn in Greece Funding Curbed by Another S&P Warning
Another projected outcome was confirmed for euro traders over the weekend; and the support it is offering the currency is visibly wearing thin. After Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won the confidence vote, it was heavily expected that the country would pass through its additional 78 billion euro austerity measures and secure the fifth tranche of its first bailout package. Indeed, EU Finance Ministers voted this past weekend to release the additional 12 billion in aid (provided the IMF distributes its own portion – which it is expected to approve this Friday). However, from here, the outlook grows a little blurry. Next Monday, the topic of a supplementary bailout package will come up again. In the meantime, Standard & Poor’s threatens to disrupt the quick-fix regime by repeating it would still see a private Greek debt rollover as a default.
Australian Dollar Misses Risk Run, Moving on to RBA Decision
Despite a buoyant start to the week for investor sentiment, the Australian dollar would close Monday out with its first bearish print in five trading days. Considering this weakness was particularly prevalent on AUDNZD, it was clear that the first sub-3.0 percent reading on the TD inflation reading in 11 months along with weak retail sales and approvals weighed the currency specifically. This sets up a dangerous RBA letdown .
British Pound Marks a Slow Start to an Event-Heavy Week
This week is heavy for UK-based scheduled event risk ; but Monday started us out with something of a mix. The economy’s housing sector took another step back with a weaker-than-expected construction sector reading and ongoing 5.8 billion sterling deficit on housing equity withdrawal. Both indicators are indicative of an important sector that will add additional weight to austerity measures and future stimulus/ratings issues.
Swiss Franc Tumbling Quickly as Specific Safe Haven Appeal Fades
The franc is quickly retreating against most of its most liquid counterparts – but is this reason enough to call a top? To determine whether the Swiss currency is indeed retreating from its record or near-record highs requires a fundamental position change. The unit is now finding much of its selling pressure through a reversal in safe haven flows from central Europe to the banking economy; but that in itself is not yet a stable driver.
Japanese Yen Fortified by BoJ’s Positive Outlook, Eased Political Pressure
Economic indicators have limited impact on the yen; and even major swings in growth potential seem to leave the currency little fazed. The real concern is changes to its place as a funding currency. Monday morning, the BoJ upgraded its growth outlook slightly while Finance Minister Noda suggested the government was backing off some of the pressure for further stimulus. These developments modestly diminish that role.
Gold Recovery Lacking for Momentum Until Fiat Demand Weighed
If were just a move posted against the dollar, then we could ascribe gold’s advance Monday to thin markets and a speculative effort to curb bearish speculation through the end of last week. However, the metal posted gains across the board. Fundamentally, confidence in fiat currency has not truly gained much traction. More interesting: net speculative futures positioning dropped last week the most since September 2008.
**For a full list of upcoming event risk and past releases, go to http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar
N ext 24 Hours
|1:30||AUD||Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (MAY)||1900M||1597M||Exports to NZ expected to increase|
|1:30||JPY||Labor Cash Earnings (YoY) (MAY)||-0.6%||-1.4%||Slower fall brings better outlook for market|
|2:30||CNY||China HSBC Services PMI (JUN)||54.3||Survey expected to follow official lower|
|4:30||AUD||Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision||4.75%||4.75%||Commentary will be the most important|
|7:45||EUR||Italian PMI Services (JUN F)||49.6||50.1||Although Italian services industries expected to start shrinking, overall composite numbers expected stagnant|
|7:50||EUR||French PMI Services (JUN F)||56.7||56.7|
|7:55||EUR||German PMI Services (JUN F)||58.3||58.3|
|8:00||EUR||Euro-Zone PMI Composite (JUN F)||53.6||53.6|
|8:00||EUR||Euro-Zone PMI Services (JUN F)||54.2||54.2|
|8:30||GBP||PMI Services (JUN)||53.5||53.8||Government cuts, weakness hurting sector|
|8:30||GBP||Official Reserves (Changes) (JUN)||-$103M||Sharply fallen as bank buys pounds|
|9:00||EUR||Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) (MAY)||-1.0%||0.9%||Decline in retail sales may not stop this week’s rate decision, but may dull any further hawkishness|
|9:00||EUR||Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY)(MAY)||-0.6%||1.1%|
|14:00||USD||Factory Orders (MAY)||1.0%||-1.2%||Recovery may lead manufacturing sector|
|23:01||GBP||BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (JUN)||2.3%||Retail sales steadily climbing|
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
CLASSIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE – 18 :00 GMT
CLASSIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE – EMERGING MARKETS 18 :00 GMT SCANDIES CURRENCIES 18:00 GMT
|Resist 2||13.8500||1.6575||7.4025||7.8165||1.3650||Resist 2||7.5800||5.6625||6.1150|
|Resist 1||12.5000||1.6300||7.3500||7.8075||1.3250||Resist 1||6.5175||5.3100||5.7075|
|Support 1||11.5200||1.5040||6.5575||7.7490||1.2145||Support 1||6.0800||5.1050||5.3040|
|Support 2||11.4400||1.4725||6.4295||7.7450||1.2000||Support 2||5.8085||4.9115||4.9410|
INTRA-DAY PIVOT POINTS 18:00 GMT
INTRA-DAY PROBABILITY BANDS 18:00 GMT
Written by: John Kicklighter , Senior Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive John’s reports via email or to submit Questions or Comments about an article; email firstname.lastname@example.org
The information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, but of which we have not independently verified. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation losses, lost revenues, or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
05 July 2011 00:30 GMT
- Sterling finds favour as funding currency (theglobeandmail.com)
Gold/USD • NY Spot Close 1487.14
Gold Approaches Key Support- Shift in Appetite to Risk Further Losses
Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Bearish
- Gold Could Fall off a Cliff
- Gold Price Hurt by Haven Status as Europe Drives Confidence
- S&P 500 Hints Doubt Bottom, Oil and Gold at Trend-Defining Barriers
With risk appetite returning to markets in full force this week, significant gains in equities coupled with the end of the dollar diluting Fed easing policies are likely to see gold remain on the defensive. This week witnessed gold fall 1.17% on the back of the 2.36% drop seen the previous week. The yellow metal now approaches key support at the 100-day moving average at $1475.
Gold’s inability to climb amid weakness in the dollar may be a pre-curser to further losses moving forward. The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar ) declined more than 1.7% this week as improving risk appetite saw traders jettison the greenback for higher-yielding growth-linked assets. Yet the losses in the dollar and advances in the S&P did not translate into gains for gold, suggesting that there may be a fundamental shift away from the metal as an alternate investment. The breakdown of these key correlations continues to suggest gold me be in a technical correction as traders continue seek riskier assets.
With central banks like the ECB now gearing up to raise interest rates in an attempt to combat higher food and energy costs, the long gold anti-inflationary play will begin to lose its luster as sluggish wage growth and higher rates give rise to deflationary concerns. As appetite continues to pick up, gold becomes less of an attractive asset for traders seeking to maximize exposure to higher yielding investments.
However in light of the recent rally seen in equities, one would expect some consolidation ahead of next week’s jam packed global economic docket with rate decisions from the ECB, BOE, and the RBA on tap. The week closes with Friday’s highly anticipated non-farm payroll figures with estimates calling for a read of just 100K after last month’s dismal print of just 54K. If data next week upsets the recent shift in risk sentiment, gold could pair some of the losses seen this week as traders flock to haven assets. However, with central banks moving to curb inflation and interest rates seen on the rise, the metal should remain well anchored with risk weighted to the downside.
A Fibonacci extension taken from the all-time highs on May 2 nd and the June 22 nd peak reveals downside targets below the 100-day moving average at 76.4% extension at 1468, followed by the convergence of the 100% extension and trendline support dating back to July 28 th 2010 at $1440. If the 100-day moving average holds, a rebound sees topside targets at the 50% Fib extension just shy of the $1500 level, backed by $1530.- MB
TODAY’S ANALYSIS FOREX
International Monetary Fund memangkas perkiraan pertumbuhan ekonomi AS pada hari Jumat dan memperingatkan pihak Washington dan negara yang terserang hutang di Eropa bahwa mereka sedang “bermain-main dengan api” kecuali jika mereka mengambil langkah cepat untuk memangkas defisit anggaran mereka. IMF, dalam penilai rutin mengenai prospek ekonomi global, mengatakan ancaman yang lebih besar terhadap pertumbuhan telah mulai bermunculan sejak laporan sebelumnya di bulan April, terkait krisis hutang di zona Eropa dan tanda overheating pada pasar perekonomian berkembang.
IMF cuts U.S. GDP forecast
TODAY’S FOREX ANALYSIS
International Monetary Fund cut its U.S. economic growth forecast on Friday and warned the country that attacked Washington and in European debt that they are “playing with fire” unless they take immediate measures to cut their budget deficits. The IMF, in a regular appraiser on the global economic outlook, said the greater threat to growth has begun to emerge since the previous report in April, related to the debt crisis in the euro zone and the sign of overheating in the market economy develops.
Washington-based IMF estimates that U.S. GDP will grow 2.5% this year and 2.7% in 2012, compared to the projected two months ago respectively of 2.8% and 2.9%. As for the overall global economy, the IMF uses a neutral tone, saying the slowdown in recent months will be “temporary.” The IMF also cut its forecast for global growth this year to 4.3% from 4.4%, and sustain economic growth forecasts for China strong at 9.6% despite signs of a slowdown in there lately. Nevertheless, the IMF warned the global outlook is good can snap off if the government in the U.S. and Europe did not begin to show leadership in addressing the debt problems of the country.
- IMF warns US, eurozone deficits a threat to stability (telegraph.co.uk)
- IMF and Greenspan predict gloom for US economy (rt.com)
- IMF sees global growth, but red flags abound (theglobeandmail.com)
- IMFs revised economic forecast warns of elevated downside risks (theglobeandmail.com)
- GOP Senators to IMF: Stop $108 Billion Bailout to European Countries (politics.ie)
- IMF Warns of US Crisis ??? (2012patriot.wordpress.com)
- U.S. ‘playing with fire’: IMF (business.financialpost.com)
- IMF’s Sobering Warning to Countries in Greatest Debt if They Don’t Get their Houses in Order (via ON MY WATCH – the writings of SamHenry) (wdednh.wordpress.com)
TODAY’S ANALYSIS FOREX
“Diskusi pemerintah Yunani dengan perwakilan dari Komisi Eropa, ECB, dan IMF hasilkan kesimpulan yang positif,” ungkap Kementrian Keuangan. Uni Eropa, ECB, dan IMF akan publikasi hasil pemeriksaan terhadap implementasi bailout €110 milyar tahun lalu. Perdana Menteri George Papandreou juga akan bertemu dengan Jean-Claude Juncker, ketua kelompok menteri keuangan zona-euro, untuk sampaikan rencana anggaran jangka menengah. Yunani mungkin ajukan pemotongan anggaran belanja lebih dalam, kebijakan yang dapat tingkatkan pendapatan, dan menjual aset negara demi bujuk Uni Eropa dan IMF untuk berikan pinjaman darurat tambahan untuk waktu yang lama.
Sementara itu, euro lanjutkan reli setelah data malam ini tunjukkan lambatnya pemulihan sektor tenaga kerja AS. Euro tengah uji resisten 1.4566, level Fibonacci 61.8% dari kejatuhan 4 Mei hingga 23 Mei; dimana penutupan harian di atas level tersebut dapat pacu kenaikan hingga 1.4647, harga tertinggi 21 April. (fir)
Dar Wong Analysis: EUR & GBP Bergerak Tandem, Profit-Taking Menanti
Emas2 Mei 2011Minggu ini Dar Wong menengarai EUR/USD bergerak licin di area resisten atas 1.4880, namun penurunan bisa terjadi kapan saja. Demikian juga GBP/USD yang terlihat “mendua” akibat sentimen yang beredar.
Sementara itu Emas terdorong ke high baru ke 1569.10 jumat (29/04) lalu. Walaupun masih naik, namun Dar Wong melihat Emas akan segera dihadang profit-taking di kisaran 1600.00.
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