Becoming Sophisticated About Risk

Posts tagged “Ekonomi Melambat

Today Market Outlook



MINYAK
AS dan OPEC, Dua Pemicu Koreksi Minyak

Kontrak minyak mentah Amerika Serikat (AS) bergerak turun di awal perdagangan hari Selasa (07/03). Minyak melanjutkan koreksi pada sesi sebelumnya terkait ekspektasi bahwa OPEC akan menaikkan target produksi minggu ini serta kekhawatiran perlambatan demand. Harga minyak mentah turun 24 sen ke level $98.88 per barel, setelah bertahan turun $1.21 ke level $99.02 per barel, penutupan terendahnya dalam 2 minggu. Tingginya harga bahan bakar dan pelemahan data ekonomi AS mungkin memaksa badan perkiraan energi pemerintah AS untuk memangkas perkiraan demand minyak global untuk bulan ke-dua. Hal ini rentan mengundang perdebatan di tengah isu kenaikan output OPEC.

EMAS
Ekonomi Melambat, Emas Kian Berkilau

Emas bergerak naik hari Selasa (07/03), melanjutkan kenaikan hingga ke level tertinggi dalam lebih dari 1 bulan pada sesi sebelumnya. Kekhawatiran stagnasi ekonomi Amerika Serikat (AS) membuat investor memilih emas sebagai investasi alternatif. Spot emas bertambah $1.11 ke level $1,544.16 per ons setelah naik ke $1,553.30 hari Senin (06/03). Emas masih bertahan di bawah level tertinggi sepanjang masa di sekitar $1,575 (awal Mei). Spot perak nyaris tidak bergerak pada level 436.82 per ons, di bawah rekor $49.51 per ons yang terjadi bulan April. Para pejabat Feds hari Senin mengatakan bahwa data ekonomi saat ini mengecewakan sehingga otoritas mungkin memperpanjang strategi pelonggaran moneter.

EUR/USD
“Tak Ada Alasan Simpan Dollar” EUR Bidik 1.4940
Meskipun sempat mengalami koreksi, Euro masih bertengger kokoh di kisaran tingginya dalam 1-bulan terhadap Greenback pada sesi hari Selasa setelah koreksi penurunan akhirnya dibatasi oleh sentimen positif terhadap prosek suku bunga zona Eropa. Menurut Boris Schlossberg, kepala riset GFT Forex, fokus pasar kini beralih kepada perbedaan suku bunga, karena the Fed kemungkinan akan tinggal diam tahun ini, kenaikan suku bunga oleh ECB akan menarik dana menuju euro dan mata uang lainnya. “Tidak ada alasan untuk menyimpan Dollar saat ini,” imbuhnya. Bahkan jika Trichet kembali menggunakan frase “waspada tinggi” dalam menanggapi tekanan inflasi, ini merupakan petunjuk adanya kenaikan suku bunga pada bulan Juli, dan Schlossberg menjelaskan Euro bisa kembali menguji level tinggi tahun 2011 di kisaran $1.4940.

NIKKEI
Dukungan Pemerintah Atas TEPCO Berlawanan Dengan Pasar

Komitmen dukungan pemerintah Jepang atas TEPCO berjalan kontras dengan aksi jual investor saat ini dan sekitar 59% cenderung memperkirakan bahwa perusahaan tersebut akan bangkrut akibat hutangnya dalam 5 tahun. Aksi likuidasi TEPCO sendiri akan menyebabkan masalah besar dan harus dihindari, dikatakan pimpinan secretariat cabinet, Yukio Edano kemarin. Saham perusahaan tersebut turun secara tak terduga 28% ke 207 Yen kemarin setelah pimpinan Tokyo Stock Exchange mengatakan bahwa bursa memerlukan restrukturisasi. Indeks bursa sempat menguat kemarin. “Spekulasi bahwa hanya masalah waktu TEPCO akan bangkrut telah mendominasi pasar saham, kontras dengan dukungan pemerintah untuk mempertahankan keberlangsungan perusahaan tersebut”, dikatakan Yasuhide Yajima, seorang ekonomi dari NLI Research Institute di Tokyo. “Pasar tidak mempercayai kemampuan pemerintah untuk melakukan tindakan menjelang rencana menjaga TEPCO tetap hidup”

****

OIL
U.S. and OPEC, Two Triggers Oil Correction

U.S. crude oil contract (U.S.) moves down in early trade on Tuesday (07/03). Oil continued correction in the previous sessions related to expectations that OPEC will raise production targets this week and concern slowing demand. Crude oil prices fell 24 cents to as low as $ 98.88 per barrel, after the last down $ 1.21 to as low as $ 99.02 per barrel, its lowest close in 2 weeks. The high fuel prices and weakening U.S. economic data may force the agency estimates the U.S. government energy to cut global oil demand forecast for the second month. It is vulnerable to invite debate in the issue of rising OPEC output.

GOLD
Economy Slows, Kian Gold Starred

Gold moves up on Tuesday (03/07), continuing to rise up to the highest level in more than 1 month in the previous session. Concerns economic stagnation United States (U.S.) make investors choose gold as an investment alternative. Spot gold added $ 1.11 to as low as $ 1,544.16 per ounce after rising to $ 1,553.30 on Monday (06/03). Gold still remained below the highest level of all time at around $ 1.575 (early May). Spot silver was almost not moving at the level of 436.82 per ounce, below the record $ 49.51 per ounce which occurred in April. Feds officials on Monday said that economic data is disappointing that the authority may extend the strategy of monetary easing.

EUR / USD
“There’s No Reason Save the Dollar” Shutter 1.4940 EUR

Although experienced a correction, the Euro was still perched firmly on the range in 1-month high against the greenback on Tuesday after correction session decline ultimately limited by the positive sentiment towards prosek eurozone interest rates. According to Boris Schlossberg, GFT Forex head of research, market focus is now switching to the difference in interest rates, because the Fed is likely to stay silent this year, rising interest rates by the ECB will attract funds into the euro and other currencies. “There is no reason to save a dollar today,” he added. Even if Trichet again using the phrase “high alert” in response to inflationary pressures, this is an indication of higher interest rates in July, and Schlossberg explains Euro could re-test the high level of 2011 in the range of $ 1.4940.

NIKKEI
Top Government Support TEPCO Contrary With Market

Commitment to the Japanese government’s support for TEPCO walk contrast with investors selling at the moment and about 59% more likely to estimate that the company will go bankrupt due to debt in 5 years. TEPCO own liquidation action will cause major problems and should be avoided, said cabinet secretariat leader, Yukio Edano yesterday. The company’s shares fell an unexpected 28% to 207 yen yesterday after the head of the Tokyo Stock Exchange said the exchange needs restructuring. Stock index had gained yesterday. “Speculation that the only matter of time TEPCO will go bankrupt already dominant market share, contrasted with government support to maintain the continuity of the company,” said Yasuhide Yajima, a economics from the NLI Research Institute in Tokyo. “Markets do not trust the government’s ability to take action ahead of TEPCO plans to keep stay alive”.

Posted with WordPress for BlackBerry.


Ekonomi Melambat, Emas Kian Berkilau


Selasa, 07 Juni 2011 – 09:53 WIB

Ekonomi Melambat, Emas Kian Berkilau

Emas bergerak naik hari Selasa (07/03), melanjutkan kenaikan hingga ke level tertinggi dalam lebih dari 1 bulan pada sesi sebelumnya. Kekhawatiran stagnasi ekonomi Amerika Serikat (AS) membuat investor memilih emas sebagai investasi alternatif.

Spot emas bertambah $1.11 ke level $1,544.16 per ons setelah naik ke $1,553.30 hari Senin (06/03). Emas masih bertahan di bawah level tertinggi sepanjang masa di sekitar $1,575 (awal Mei).

Spot perak nyaris tidak bergerak pada level 436.82 per ons, di bawah rekor $49.51 per ons yang terjadi bulan April. Para pejabat Feds hari Senin mengatakan bahwa data ekonomi saat ini mengecewakan sehingga otoritas mungkin memperpanjang strategi pelonggaran moneter.

****

Tuesday, June 7, 2011 – 9:53 pm

Economy Slows, The Gold Starred

Gold moves up on Tuesday (03/07), continuing to rise up to the highest level in more than 1 month in the previous session. Concerns economic stagnation United States (U.S.) make investors choose gold as an investment alternative.

Spot gold added $ 1.11 to as low as $ 1,544.16 per ounce after rising to $ 1,553.30 on Monday (06/03). Gold still remained below the highest level of all time at around $ 1.575 (early May).

Spot silver was almost not moving at the level of 436.82 per ounce, below the record $ 49.51 per ounce which occurred in April. Feds officials on Monday said that economic data is disappointing that the authority may extend the strategy of monetary easing.

Posted with WordPress for BlackBerry.