Market Outlook Today

Kenaikan Suku Bunga Inggris Akan Legakan BoE Nantinya

Bank of England seharusnya menaikkan suku bunga saat ini untuk mencegah pengetatan yang lebih agresif di waktu mendatang dan membantah spekulasi bahwa bank sentral telah melepas mandat untuk melawan inflasi, menurut Martin Weale, salah satu pejabat BoE. Weale, yang telah menyerukan kenaikan sebesar 25 basis poin sejak bulan Januari, mengatakan kenaikan suku bunga lebih awal dapat memperburuk perekonomian namun bank sentral akan mendapatkan kelegaan untuk memperlambat atau bahkan membalikkan proses pengetatan nantinya jika dibutuhkan. Kenaikan lebih awal berarti suku bunga tidak harus naik sesuai perkiraan pasar saat ini untuk beberapa tahun kedepan, ucap Weale pada Finance Director‘s Strategy Meeting di London. “Apa yang akan dilakukan adalah mengurangi spekulasi bahwa bank sentral ingkar terhadap mandat inflasinya,” ucap Weale. “Ini akan mengurangi resiko kenaikan berikutnya dan mungkin dapat berarti bahwa dalam waktu 3 tahun kedepan, kebijakan moneter tidak perlu seketat yang ditunjukkan kurva yield,” ucapnya.

Emas Tumbang Bersama Komoditas

Emas anjlok sebesar 1% hari Senin, seiring melemahnya minyak dan komoditas lainnya ditengah kecemasan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan krisis hutang Eropa memicu aksi jual sektor komoditas. Perak juga turun sebanyak 4%, seiring absennya aksi beli safehaven kendati downgrade pada peringkat hutang Yunani. Emas mendapat tekanan dari likuidasi aset beresiko dan akan menghadapi tekanan dari aksi profit-taking, namun sektor fundamental masih mendukung emas,” ucap Sean McGillivray, kepala alokasi aset Great Pacific Wealth Management. Aksi juall teknikal juga turut menekan harga setelah emas menembus ke bawah MA20, level yang menahan selama 3 pekan terakhir. Emas nampaknya sedang menuju level support setelah terpantul dari levl MA20 pada $1,507 per ons.

Minyak Anjlok Pasca Downgrade Yunani

Minyak Brent beranjak ke area negatif dan minyak mentah AS menambah penurunan pada hari Senin setelah pemangkasan peringkat hutang Yunani menambah kecemasan mengenai perkeonomian dan tingkat permintaan minyak. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services menurunkan peringkat hutang jangka panjang Yunani dengan outlook negatif, membuat busa saham AS tertekan turun dan euro memangkas kenaikan terhadap dollar. “Downgrade Yunani oleh S&P memicu koreksi dan bursa saham juga melemah,” ucap Chris Dillman, analis pada Tradition Energy di Stamford, Connecticut. Kecemasan melambatnya pertumbuhan ekonomi telah menekan minyak mentah AS sebelum berita Yunani dirilis. Tingginya persediaan domestik, terutama di Cushing, Oklahoma, juga turut menekan harga minyak. Katalis segar datang di hari Senin ketika Royal Dutch Shell menyatakan force majeure pada pengiriman minyak mentah Nigerian Bonny Light untuk bulan Juni dan Juli. Shell mengatakan turunnya produksi diakibatkan kebocoran dan kebakaran pada jalur pipa Trans-Niger.

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UK Interest Rate Increase Will BoE relief Later

Bank of England should raise interest rates today to prevent a more aggressive tightening in the future, and denied speculation that the central bank has released a mandate to fight inflation, according to Martin Weale, one of the BoE officials. Weale, who has called for an increase of 25 basis points since January, said an early rate hike could worsen the economy but central banks will get relief to slow or even reverse the process of tightening later on if needed. The increase means the interest rates sooner not have to go up according to current market estimates for the next few years, Weale said the Finance Director’s Strategy Meeting in London. “What will be done is to reduce speculation that the central bank’s mandate of breach against inflation,” said Weale. “This will reduce the risk of subsequent increases and may mean that within 3 years, monetary policy does not need as tight as indicated yield curve,” he said.

Gold tumbles Joint Commodities

Gold fell 1% Monday, as weaker oil and other commodities amid worries of economic growth and European debt crisis triggered a sell-commodity sectors. Silver also fell by 4%, in line despite the absence of buying safehaven downgrade the debt ratings of Greece. Gold under pressure from the liquidation of assets at risk and will face pressure from profit-taking action, but the fundamentals still support the gold sector, “said Sean McGillivray, head of asset allocation Great Pacific Wealth Management. Action technical juall also suppress the gold price after penetrating downward MA20 , a level that held for 3 weeks. Gold seemingly heading for the level of support after reflected from levl MA20 at $ 1.507 per ounce.

Oil Down After Downgrade Greece

Brent oil went into the negative area and increase the decline in U.S. crude oil on Monday after cutting debt ratings Greek add perkeonomian and level of anxiety about oil demand. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered the long-term debt ratings with a negative outlook Greece, foaming depressed U.S. stock cut down and the euro rise against the dollar. “Greece Downgrade by S & P trigger a stock market correction and also weakening,” said Chris Dillman, an analyst at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. Fears of economic slowdown has hit the U.S. crude oil before the Greek news release. High domestic inventories, particularly in Cushing, Oklahoma, also weighed on oil prices. Fresh catalyst came on Monday when Royal Dutch Shell declared force majeure on oil shipments Nigerian Bonny Light crude for June and July. Shell said the decline in production caused by leaks and fires on the Trans-Niger pipeline.

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Juni 14, 2011 | Categories: Headline News | Tags: American International Group, Bank of England, BHP Billiton, Business, European sovereign debt crisis of 2010–present, Finance, Financial Services, Gold tumbles Joint Commodities, Government, Greece, London, Martin Weale, Oil Down After Downgrade Greece, Royal Dutch Shell, Standard & Poor's, UBS, UK Interest Rate Increase Will BoE relief Later, United States | Tinggalkan komentar